A friend of mine recently closed on a home. He had waited 3 years to purchase. He watched the markets carefully. He finally decided on a great home in a highly desirable subdivision. He got the home for 50% of what it sold for 3 years ago, and a full 10% under the current market value.
His comment to me? "I just wish I could prevent the powers that be from using this sale as part of the 'market is recovering' hype"!
Now, I understand a healthy dose of caution when purchasing in this, or any market. But to be so cynical just after making such a great buy? His take on it is that although he purchased, he didnt want someone else to use him as an example of a recovering market.
Folks, the market starts recovering when people start buying. Even at depressed prices, decreasing inventory means less available to purchase. Homes selling more quickly means that we begin to see "list to sale" ratios declining and approaching equilibrium.
Lately, there is a lot of resistance from sellers to go any lower. Just ask a few of my buyers who have been frustrated on several properties. On others, there are multiple offers. These are all signs of a market that is ready to recover, if it is not well on its way.
It's not "hype" if all the numbers are favorable. If people are buying. If inventory is decreasing, sellers are holding, and buyers are competing. Its reality.
Could something happen tomorrow to change those facts? Of course. But for now, things are heading in the right direction.
Tuesday, October 20, 2009
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